Matches in DBpedia 2016-04 for { <http://dbpedia.org/resource/Overconfidence_effect> ?p ?o }
Showing triples 1 to 71 of
71
with 100 triples per page.
- Overconfidence_effect abstract "The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. For example, Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities. Throughout the research literature, overconfidence has been defined in three distinct ways: (1) overestimation of one's actual performance, (2) overplacement of one's performance relative to others, and (3) the excessive certainty regarding the accuracy of one's beliefs − called overprecision.The most common way in which overconfidence has been studied is by asking people how confident they are of specific beliefs they hold or answers they provide. The data show that confidence systematically exceeds accuracy, implying people are more sure that they are correct than they deserve to be. If human confidence had perfect calibration, judgments with 100% confidence would be correct 100% of the time, 90% confidence correct 90% of the time, and so on for the other levels of confidence. By contrast, the key finding is that confidence exceeds accuracy so long as the subject is answering hard questions about an unfamiliar topic. For example, in a spelling task, subjects were correct about 80% of the time, whereas they claimed to be 100% certain. Put another way, the error rate was 20% when subjects expected it to be 0%. In a series where subjects made true-or-false responses to general knowledge statements, they were overconfident at all levels. When they were 100% certain of their answer to a question, they were wrong 20% of the time.".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageID "3080323".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageLength "24078".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageOutDegree "29".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageRevisionID "700596737".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Adverse_selection.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Bayesian_probability.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Case_study.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Category:Cognitive_biases.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Category:Memory_biases.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Clinical_psychology.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Cognitive_bias.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Confidence.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Core_self-evaluations.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Daniel_Kahneman.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Defensive_pessimism.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Depressive_realism.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Dunning–Kruger_effect.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink False-consensus_effect.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Hard–easy_effect.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Heuristics_in_judgment_and_decision-making.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Hindsight_bias.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Illusion_of_control.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink List_of_cognitive_biases.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Locus_of_control.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Misplaced_loyalty.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Neuroticism.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Optimism_bias.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Planning_fallacy.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Psychology.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Self-efficacy.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Self-esteem.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLink Volition_(psychology).
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "Better-than-average effect".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "Overconfidence Effect".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "Overconfidence effect".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "Overconfidence_effect".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "over-confidence".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "overconfidence effect".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "overconfidence".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageWikiLinkText "overconfident".
- Overconfidence_effect align "right".
- Overconfidence_effect quote ""Overconfident professionals sincerely believe they have expertise, act as experts and look like experts. You will have to struggle to remind yourself that they may be in the grip of an illusion."".
- Overconfidence_effect source "—Daniel Kahneman".
- Overconfidence_effect width "30.0".
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Citation_needed.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Citation_needed_span.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Cite_book.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Cite_journal.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Columns-list.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Main.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Portal.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Quote_box.
- Overconfidence_effect wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Reflist.
- Overconfidence_effect subject Category:Cognitive_biases.
- Overconfidence_effect subject Category:Memory_biases.
- Overconfidence_effect hypernym Bias.
- Overconfidence_effect type Type.
- Overconfidence_effect type Concept.
- Overconfidence_effect type Type.
- Overconfidence_effect comment "The overconfidence effect is a well-established bias in which a person's subjective confidence in his or her judgments is reliably greater than the objective accuracy of those judgments, especially when confidence is relatively high. For example, Overconfidence is one example of a miscalibration of subjective probabilities.".
- Overconfidence_effect label "Overconfidence effect".
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs Q17073580.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs تأثير_الثقة_المبالغة.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs Efekt_nadměrné_sebedůvěry.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs Selbstüberschätzung.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs m.08q0sk.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs Ефект_надмірної_впевненості.
- Overconfidence_effect sameAs Q17073580.
- Overconfidence_effect wasDerivedFrom Overconfidence_effect?oldid=700596737.
- Overconfidence_effect isPrimaryTopicOf Overconfidence_effect.