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- Planning_fallacy abstract "The planning fallacy, first proposed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979, is a phenomenon in which predictions about how much time will be needed to complete a future task display an optimism bias (underestimate the time needed).This phenomenon occurs regardless of the individual's knowledge that past tasks of a similar nature have taken longer to complete than generally planned. The bias only affects predictions about one's own tasks; when outside observers predict task completion times, they show a pessimistic bias, overestimating the time needed. The planning fallacy requires that predictions of current tasks' completion times are more optimistic than the beliefs about past completion times for similar projects and that predictions of the current tasks' completion times are more optimistic than the actual time needed to complete the tasks. In 2003, Lovallo and Kahneman proposed an expanded definition as the tendency to underestimate the time, costs, and risks of future actions and at the same time overestimate the benefits of the same actions. According to this definition, the planning fallacy results in not only time overruns, but also cost overruns and benefit shortfalls.".
- Planning_fallacy thumbnail Daniel_KAHNEMAN.jpg?width=300.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink db=psyh&AN=2005-11504-008.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink db=psyh&AN=2005-11262-003.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink j.jesp.2003.11.001.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink S0065-2601(10)43001-4&title=Advances+in+experimental+social+psychology&volume=43&date=2010&spage=1&issn=0065-2601.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink 12)30:6%3C873::AID-EJSP22%3E3.0.CO%3B2-U&title=European+journal+of+social+psychology&volume=30&issue=6&date=2000&spage=873&issn=0046-2772.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink www.projectdecisions.org.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageExternalLink S0065260110430014.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageID "903029".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageLength "18547".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageOutDegree "34".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageRevisionID "699328261".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Amos_Tversky.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Anchoring.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Asymmetry.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Benefit_shortfall.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Brooks’_law.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Category:Cognitive_biases.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Category:Management.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Category:Planning.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Category:Prospect_theory.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Central_Artery.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Cost_overrun.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Daniel_Kahneman.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Denver_International_Airport.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Empire_State_Building.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Eurofighter_Typhoon.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Fred_Brooks.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Golden_Gate_Bridge.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Hiding_hand_principle.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Hofstadters_law.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Implementation_intention.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Impression_management.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Linearity.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Nassim_Nicholas_Taleb.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Optimism_bias.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Psychology.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Reference_class_forecasting.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Scale_(ratio).
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Self-serving_bias.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Sydney_Opera_House.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink The_Crystal_Palace.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink The_Mythical_Man-Month.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Thesis.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink Wishful_thinking.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLink File:Daniel_KAHNEMAN.jpg.
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLinkText "Planning fallacy".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageWikiLinkText "planning fallacy".
- Planning_fallacy wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Reflist.
- Planning_fallacy subject Category:Cognitive_biases.
- Planning_fallacy subject Category:Management.
- Planning_fallacy subject Category:Planning.
- Planning_fallacy subject Category:Prospect_theory.
- Planning_fallacy hypernym Phenomenon.
- Planning_fallacy type Disease.
- Planning_fallacy type Type.
- Planning_fallacy type Concept.
- Planning_fallacy type Science.
- Planning_fallacy type Type.
- Planning_fallacy comment "The planning fallacy, first proposed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979, is a phenomenon in which predictions about how much time will be needed to complete a future task display an optimism bias (underestimate the time needed).This phenomenon occurs regardless of the individual's knowledge that past tasks of a similar nature have taken longer to complete than generally planned.".
- Planning_fallacy label "Planning fallacy".
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Q1637631.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs خطأ_التخطيط.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Грешка_при_планирането.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Planungsfehlschluss.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Falacia_de_la_planificación.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Złudzenie_planowania.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs m.03ndl9.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs เหตุผลวิบัติในการวางแผน.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Омана_планування.
- Planning_fallacy sameAs Q1637631.
- Planning_fallacy wasDerivedFrom Planning_fallacy?oldid=699328261.
- Planning_fallacy depiction Daniel_KAHNEMAN.jpg.
- Planning_fallacy isPrimaryTopicOf Planning_fallacy.