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- Condorcets_jury_theorem abstract "Condorcet's jury theorem is a political science theorem about the relative probability of a given group of individuals arriving at a correct decision. The theorem was first expressed by the Marquis de Condorcet in his 1785 work Essay on the Application of Analysis to the Probability of Majority Decisions.The assumptions of the simplest version of the theorem are that a group wishes to reach a decision by majority vote. One of the two outcomes of the vote is correct, and each voter has an independent probability p of voting for the correct decision. The theorem asks how many voters we should include in the group. The result depends on whether p is greater than or less than 1/2: If p is greater than 1/2 (each voter is more likely to vote correctly), then adding more voters increases the probability that the majority decision is correct. In the limit, the probability that the majority votes correctly approaches 1 as the number of voters increases. On the other hand, if p is less than 1/2 (each voter is more likely to vote incorrectly), then adding more voters makes things worse: the optimal jury consists of a single voter.↑".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageID "2707511".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageLength "8161".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageOutDegree "10".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageRevisionID "702956379".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Arrows_impossibility_theorem.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Category:Probability_theorems.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Category:Voting_theory.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Democracy.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Jury_trial.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Marquis_de_Condorcet.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Nash_equilibrium.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Political_science.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Question_of_fact.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLink Voting_paradox.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLinkText "Condorcet's jury theorem".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageWikiLinkText "jury theorem".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Citation_needed.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Reflist.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem subject Category:Probability_theorems.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem subject Category:Voting_theory.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem hypernym Theorem.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem type Redirect.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem type Theorem.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem comment "Condorcet's jury theorem is a political science theorem about the relative probability of a given group of individuals arriving at a correct decision. The theorem was first expressed by the Marquis de Condorcet in his 1785 work Essay on the Application of Analysis to the Probability of Majority Decisions.The assumptions of the simplest version of the theorem are that a group wishes to reach a decision by majority vote.".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem label "Condorcet's jury theorem".
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs Q744925.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs Condorcet-Jury-Theorem.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs Kviðdómssetning_Condorcets.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs 陪審定理.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs Teorema_do_júri_de_Condorcet.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs m.07z8_q.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem sameAs Q744925.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem wasDerivedFrom Condorcets_jury_theorem?oldid=702956379.
- Condorcets_jury_theorem isPrimaryTopicOf Condorcets_jury_theorem.