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- Propensity_probability abstract "The propensity theory of probability is one interpretation of the concept of probability. Theorists who adopt this interpretation think of probability as a physical propensity, or disposition, or tendency of a given type of physical situation to yield an outcome of a certain kind, or to yield a long run relative frequency of such an outcome.Propensities are not relative frequencies, but purported causes of the observed stable relative frequencies. Propensities are invoked to explain why repeating a certain kind of experiment will generate a given outcome type at a persistent rate. A central aspect of this explanation is the law of large numbers. This law, which is a consequence of the axioms of probability, says that if (for example) a coin is tossed repeatedly many times, in such a way that its probability of landing heads is the same on each toss, and the outcomes are probabilistically independent, then the relative frequency of heads will (with high probability) be close to the probability of heads on each single toss. This law suggests that stable long-run frequencies are a manifestation of invariant single-case probabilities. Frequentists are unable to take this approach, since relative frequencies do not exist for single tosses of a coin, but only for large ensembles or collectives. Hence, these single-case probabilities are known as propensities or chances.In addition to explaining the emergence of stable relative frequencies, the idea of propensity is motivated by the desire to make sense of single-case probability attributions in quantum mechanics, such as the probability of decay of a particular atom at a particular time.The main challenge facing propensity theories is to say exactly what propensity means. And then, of course, to show that propensity thus defined has the required properties. At present, unfortunately, none of the well-recognised accounts of propensity comes close to meeting this challenge.".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageExternalLink 95.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageID "11351089".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageLength "9906".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageOutDegree "35".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageRevisionID "657813949".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Arthur_Burks.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Arthur_W._Burks.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Atom.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Axioms_of_probability.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Bayesian_probability.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Category:Epistemology.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Category:Probability_interpretations.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Charles_Sanders_Peirce.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Charles_Sanders_Peirce_bibliography.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink D._H._Mellor.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink David_Hugh_Mellor.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink David_Kellogg_Lewis.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink David_Lewis_(philosopher).
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink David_Miller_(philosopher).
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Donald_A._Gillies.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Electric_charge.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Electrical_charge.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Frequentism.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Frequentist_probability.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Frequentists.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Ian_Hacking.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Karl_Popper.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Kolmogorovs_zeroxe2x80x93one_law.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Law_of_large_numbers.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink P._Suppes.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Patrick_Suppes.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Principal_Principle.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Probability.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Probability_axioms.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Probability_interpretations.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Quantum_mechanics.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Radioactive_decay.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Richard_C._Jeffrey.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Richard_Jeffrey.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Ronald_Giere.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLink Tail_event.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText ""propensity" theory of probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText ""propensity"".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "Propensity probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "objective probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensities".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensity or probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensity probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensity theory of probability".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensity theory".
- Propensity_probability wikiPageWikiLinkText "propensity".
- Propensity_probability hasPhotoCollection Propensity_probability.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Expert-subject.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:PhilPapers.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Refimprove.
- Propensity_probability wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Reflist.
- Propensity_probability subject Category:Epistemology.
- Propensity_probability subject Category:Probability_interpretations.
- Propensity_probability hypernym Interpretation.
- Propensity_probability type Article.
- Propensity_probability type Work.
- Propensity_probability type Article.
- Propensity_probability comment "The propensity theory of probability is one interpretation of the concept of probability. Theorists who adopt this interpretation think of probability as a physical propensity, or disposition, or tendency of a given type of physical situation to yield an outcome of a certain kind, or to yield a long run relative frequency of such an outcome.Propensities are not relative frequencies, but purported causes of the observed stable relative frequencies.".
- Propensity_probability label "Propensity probability".
- Propensity_probability sameAs Propensität.
- Propensity_probability sameAs m.02r8l91.
- Propensity_probability sameAs Q2112968.
- Propensity_probability sameAs Q2112968.
- Propensity_probability wasDerivedFrom Propensity_probability?oldid=657813949.
- Propensity_probability isPrimaryTopicOf Propensity_probability.