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- Boy_or_Girl_paradox abstract "The Boy or Girl paradox surrounds a set of questions in probability theory which are also known as The Two Child Problem, Mr. Smith's Children and the Mrs. Smith Problem. The initial formulation of the question dates back to at least 1959, when Martin Gardner published one of the earliest variants of the paradox in Scientific American. Titled The Two Children Problem, he phrased the paradox as follows:Mr. Jones has two children. The older child is a girl. What is the probability that both children are girls?Mr. Smith has two children. At least one of them is a boy. What is the probability that both children are boys?Gardner initially gave the answers 1/2 and 1/3, respectively; but later acknowledged that the second question was ambiguous. Its answer could be 1/2, depending on how you found out that one child was a boy. The ambiguity, depending on the exact wording and possible assumptions, was confirmed by Bar-Hillel and Falk, and Nickerson.Other variants of this question, with varying degrees of ambiguity, have been recently popularized by Ask Marilyn in Parade Magazine, John Tierney of The New York Times, and Leonard Mlodinow in Drunkard's Walk. One scientific study showed that when identical information was conveyed, but with different partially ambiguous wordings that emphasized different points, that the percentage of MBA students who answered 1/2 changed from 85% to 39%.The paradox has frequently stimulated a great deal of controversy. Many people argued strongly for both sides with a great deal of confidence, sometimes showing disdain for those who took the opposing view. The paradox stems from whether the problem setup is similar for the two questions. The intuitive answer is 1/2. This answer is intuitive if the question leads the reader to believe that there are two equally likely possibilities for the sex of the second child (i.e., boy and girl), and that the probability of these outcomes is absolute, not conditional.".
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- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageExternalLink bears.shtml.
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- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Ask_Marilyn.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Bayes_Theorem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Bayes_theorem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Bernoulli_process.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Bertrands_box_paradox.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Category:Named_probability_problems.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Category:Probability_theory_paradoxes.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Coin_flipping.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Conceptual_model.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Conditional_probability.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Extensional_definition.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Heuristic.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Heuristics.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink John_Tierney_(journalist).
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink MBA.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Marilyn_vos_Savant.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Martin_Gardner.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Master_of_Business_Administration.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Model_(abstract).
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Monty_Hall_Problem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Monty_Hall_problem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Necktie_paradox.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Parade_(magazine).
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Parade_Magazine.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Probability_theory.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Rule_of_Succession.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Rule_of_succession.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Scientific_American.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Sleeping_Beauty_problem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink St._Petersburg_paradox.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink The_New_York_Times.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLink Two_envelopes_problem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLinkText ""two boys" or "second-sibling" problem".
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLinkText "Boy or Girl paradox".
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageWikiLinkText "Boy_or_Girl_paradox".
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox hasPhotoCollection Boy_or_Girl_paradox.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Reflist.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wikiPageUsesTemplate Template:Unreferenced_section.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox subject Category:Named_probability_problems.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox subject Category:Probability_theory_paradoxes.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox type Article.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox type Article.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox comment "The Boy or Girl paradox surrounds a set of questions in probability theory which are also known as The Two Child Problem, Mr. Smith's Children and the Mrs. Smith Problem. The initial formulation of the question dates back to at least 1959, when Martin Gardner published one of the earliest variants of the paradox in Scientific American. Titled The Two Children Problem, he phrased the paradox as follows:Mr. Jones has two children. The older child is a girl.".
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox label "Boy or Girl paradox".
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Junge-oder-Mädchen-Problem.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs پارادوکس_جنسیت.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Paradoxe_des_deux_enfants.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Paradosso_dei_due_bambini.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs m.07xyhp.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Парадокс_мальчика_и_девочки.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Парадокс_хлопчика_та_дівчинки.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Q2271174.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox sameAs Q2271174.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox wasDerivedFrom Boy_or_Girl_paradox?oldid=682326642.
- Boy_or_Girl_paradox isPrimaryTopicOf Boy_or_Girl_paradox.